Charts

Migration data in context.

These charts put the simulator's main inputs in context: NOM history, permanent program outcomes, citizenship conferrals, temporary visa stock, temporary skilled grants, skilled occupation mix, housing-relevant ANZSCO trade groups, and the export-income base behind international education.

NOM history

NOM responds sharply to visa settings, entry rules, labour demand, and student flows.

Visa and entry settings include rules that affect who can enter Australia and who stays long enough to count in NOM. The chart uses ABS financial-year data from 2004-05 to 2024-25. The orange line shows the number of people added through NOM. The blue line shows that flow as a share of Australia's estimated resident population.

NOM and NOM share of resident population

ABS annual financial years ending 30 June. Share uses Estimated Resident Population at 30 June as the denominator, not an annual citizen-count series.

NOM, people NOM / resident population
Net overseas migration and NOM share of resident population, 2004-05 to 2024-25 NOM peaked at 538,341 people in 2022-23, fell negative in 2020-21, and was 305,569 people in 2024-25. -100k 0 200k 400k 600k -0.5% 0% 0.5% 1% 1.5% 2% NOM, people NOM / resident population 2004-05 2008-09 2012-13 2016-17 2020-21 2024-25 2004-05: NOM 123,763; share 0.61% 2005-06: NOM 146,753; share 0.72% 2006-07: NOM 232,796; share 1.12% 2007-08: NOM 277,338; share 1.31% 2008-09: NOM 299,866; share 1.38% 2009-10: NOM 196,058; share 0.89% 2010-11: NOM 180,372; share 0.81% 2011-12: NOM 231,947; share 1.02% 2012-13: NOM 230,329; share 1.00% 2013-14: NOM 187,778; share 0.80% 2014-15: NOM 184,033; share 0.77% 2015-16: NOM 206,233; share 0.85% 2016-17: NOM 263,351; share 1.07% 2017-18: NOM 238,224; share 0.95% 2018-19: NOM 241,338; share 0.95% 2019-20: NOM 192,703; share 0.75% 2020-21: NOM -84,930; share -0.33% 2021-22: NOM 207,912; share 0.80% 2022-23: NOM 538,341; share 2.02% 2023-24: NOM 429,162; share 1.58% 2024-25: NOM 305,569; share 1.11%
Peak 538,341 2022-23; 2.02% of residents
COVID trough -84,930 2020-21; -0.33% of residents
Latest 305,569 2024-25; 1.11% of residents

Permanent residents and citizenship

Permanent residence is the pipeline to future citizenship.

The permanent program admits people for long-term settlement. Citizenship conferrals show how many people formally became Australian citizens in a given year. The two flows are connected over time, but citizenship numbers are a lagged outcome of earlier migration decisions, eligibility rules, and personal choice.

Permanent program outcomes vs citizenship conferrals

The chart compares annual permanent program outcomes with citizenship conferrals. Conferrals usually reflect migration decisions made years earlier, after people meet residence and eligibility requirements.

Permanent program outcome Citizenship conferrals
Permanent Migration Program outcomes compared with citizenship conferrals In 2024-25, the permanent program outcome was 185,001 and citizenship conferrals were 165,193. 0 100k 200k 300k People per year 2015-16: permanent program 189,770 2015-16: citizenship conferrals 133,126 2015-16 2016-17: permanent program 183,608 2016-17: citizenship conferrals 137,750 2017-18: permanent program 162,417 2017-18: citizenship conferrals 80,649 2017-18 2018-19: permanent program 160,323 2018-19: citizenship conferrals 127,674 2019-20: permanent program 140,366 2019-20: citizenship conferrals 204,817 2019-20 2020-21: permanent program 160,052 2020-21: citizenship conferrals 140,748 2021-22: permanent program 143,556 2021-22: citizenship conferrals 167,232 2021-22 2022-23: permanent program 195,004 2022-23: citizenship conferrals 192,947 2023-24: permanent program 190,000 2023-24: citizenship conferrals 192,242 2023-24 2024-25: permanent program 185,001 2024-25: citizenship conferrals 165,193 2024-25
Latest permanent program 185,001 2024-25; Migration Program outcome
Latest citizenship conferrals 165,193 2024-25; by conferral
Same-year difference 19,808 More permanent outcomes than conferrals. Not a cohort gap.

Temporary visa stock

The temporary system is now a major migration pipeline.

Student, temporary graduate, and temporary skilled stocks are point-in-time counts of people in Australia. They are not NOM, and they are not permanent places, but they show the pools from which later skilled and permanent pathways can emerge.

Students, graduates, and temporary skilled holders

Home Affairs bp0019 temporary visa holder stock in Australia. Counts are point-in-time visa-holder stocks, not annual arrivals.

Student Temporary Graduate Temporary skilled
Temporary visa holder stock by selected category At 30 April 2026, there were 609,984 student visa holders, 266,921 temporary graduates, and 259,665 temporary skilled holders in Australia. 0 200k 400k 600k Visa holders in Australia Jun 2021 Jun 2022 Jun 2023 Jun 2024 Jun 2025 Apr 2026 Mar 2021: Student 377,785 Mar 2021: Temporary Graduate 100,325 Mar 2021: Temporary skilled 104,333 Jun 2021: Student 374,056 Jun 2021: Temporary Graduate 88,694 Jun 2021: Temporary skilled 99,029 Sep 2021: Student 317,915 Sep 2021: Temporary Graduate 95,042 Sep 2021: Temporary skilled 95,035 Dec 2021: Student 315,949 Dec 2021: Temporary Graduate 95,259 Dec 2021: Temporary skilled 90,737 Mar 2022: Student 336,844 Mar 2022: Temporary Graduate 97,089 Mar 2022: Temporary skilled 95,939 Jun 2022: Student 357,919 Jun 2022: Temporary Graduate 98,633 Jun 2022: Temporary skilled 94,573 Sep 2022: Student 419,325 Sep 2022: Temporary Graduate 115,029 Sep 2022: Temporary skilled 105,891 Dec 2022: Student 456,970 Dec 2022: Temporary Graduate 144,694 Dec 2022: Temporary skilled 105,319 Mar 2023: Student 582,758 Mar 2023: Temporary Graduate 183,175 Mar 2023: Temporary skilled 124,693 Jun 2023: Student 568,753 Jun 2023: Temporary Graduate 199,772 Jun 2023: Temporary skilled 130,004 Sep 2023: Student 664,178 Sep 2023: Temporary Graduate 193,277 Sep 2023: Temporary skilled 139,736 Dec 2023: Student 547,075 Dec 2023: Temporary Graduate 179,830 Dec 2023: Temporary skilled 130,451 Mar 2024: Student 671,359 Mar 2024: Temporary Graduate 199,897 Mar 2024: Temporary skilled 153,991 Jun 2024: Student 608,262 Jun 2024: Temporary Graduate 216,494 Jun 2024: Temporary skilled 168,725 Sep 2024: Student 674,723 Sep 2024: Temporary Graduate 228,312 Sep 2024: Temporary skilled 183,735 Dec 2024: Student 522,183 Dec 2024: Temporary Graduate 195,304 Dec 2024: Temporary skilled 166,830 Mar 2025: Student 672,982 Mar 2025: Temporary Graduate 222,190 Mar 2025: Temporary skilled 204,812 Jun 2025: Student 592,342 Jun 2025: Temporary Graduate 228,909 Jun 2025: Temporary skilled 219,710 Sep 2025: Student 634,670 Sep 2025: Temporary Graduate 239,324 Sep 2025: Temporary skilled 233,601 Dec 2025: Student 477,890 Dec 2025: Temporary Graduate 225,901 Dec 2025: Temporary skilled 215,768 Mar 2026: Student 609,678 Mar 2026: Temporary Graduate 258,974 Mar 2026: Temporary skilled 255,821 Apr 2026: Student 609,984 Apr 2026: Temporary Graduate 266,921 Apr 2026: Temporary skilled 259,665
Student holders 609,984 30 April 2026; stock in Australia.
Temporary Graduate 266,921 Post-study stock; possible pathway pool, not proof of intent.
Temporary skilled 259,665 Employer-sponsored and skilled temporary stock.

Temporary skilled stock versus skilled annual flows

The first bar is a stock count. The other bars are annual flows. The comparison is useful for scale, but it should not be read as a single common denominator.

Temporary skilled holders 30 April 2026; stock in Australia
259,665
Temporary skilled grants 2024-25 annual flow; primary plus secondary
130,571
Permanent Skill stream 2024-25 annual permanent outcome; primary plus secondary
132,148

Latest selected temporary visa stocks

The snapshot includes temporary visa holders and New Zealand Special Category visa holders physically in Australia at 30 April 2026.

Special Category Mostly New Zealand citizens on subclass 444; a large resident stock, not a student count.
735,295
Student Student visa holders in Australia at the snapshot date.
609,984
Bridging People lawfully waiting for another visa decision or review outcome.
419,682
Visitor Visitor visa holders physically in Australia; most ordinary short visits do not count in NOM.
318,350
Temporary Graduate Post-study holders, often the clearest temporary pool with a possible stay pathway.
266,921
Temporary Resident (Skilled Employment) Employer-sponsored and skilled temporary workers in Australia.
259,665
Working Holiday Maker Working holiday and work-and-holiday visa holders.
236,457

Temporary skilled deep dive

Temporary skilled visas show where employers are already pulling.

The grants data is employer-sponsored temporary skilled flow, not permanent settlement. It is still useful because it reveals immediate labour-market demand by ANZSCO family before people may move into later visa pathways.

Temporary skilled primary grants in selected building trades

Home Affairs bp0014 Temporary Resident (Skilled) visas granted report. Occupation cuts use primary applicants only; 2025-26 data is year-to-date to 31 March 2026.

Site construction Building services Fabrication and fitters
Selected trades 4,728 2024-25; temporary skilled primary grants.
Share of primary grants 6.9% Selected trades as a share of all temporary skilled primary grants.
Vs permanent trade slice 1.8x Temporary skilled selected-trade primary grants versus permanent skilled selected-trade primary applicants in 2024-25.
2025-26 YTD 3,418 Partial year to 31 March 2026; not annualised here.

Temporary skilled health grants: GPs, RMOs and registered nurses

The chart uses exact occupation for General Practitioners, keeps Resident Medical Officers separate, and groups Registered Nurses at ANZSCO unit-group level.

General practitioners Resident medical officers Registered nurses
Temporary skilled primary grants for selected health occupations In 2024-25, temporary skilled primary grants included 690 General Practitioners, 2,727 Resident Medical Officers, and 2,151 Registered Nurses. 0 1k 2k 3k Primary grants per year 2015-16 2017-18 2019-20 2021-22 2023-24 2024-25 2015-16: General Practitioners 1,116 2015-16: Resident Medical Officers 1,204 2015-16: Registered Nurses 1,009 2016-17: General Practitioners 1,138 2016-17: Resident Medical Officers 1,222 2016-17: Registered Nurses 1,074 2017-18: General Practitioners 1,168 2017-18: Resident Medical Officers 1,057 2017-18: Registered Nurses 1,144 2018-19: General Practitioners 618 2018-19: Resident Medical Officers 984 2018-19: Registered Nurses 1,138 2019-20: General Practitioners 410 2019-20: Resident Medical Officers 1,268 2019-20: Registered Nurses 1,068 2020-21: General Practitioners 355 2020-21: Resident Medical Officers 1,311 2020-21: Registered Nurses 666 2021-22: General Practitioners 283 2021-22: Resident Medical Officers 1,500 2021-22: Registered Nurses 967 2022-23: General Practitioners 389 2022-23: Resident Medical Officers 1,889 2022-23: Registered Nurses 1,487 2023-24: General Practitioners 500 2023-24: Resident Medical Officers 2,406 2023-24: Registered Nurses 1,490 2024-25: General Practitioners 690 2024-25: Resident Medical Officers 2,727 2024-25: Registered Nurses 2,151
GPs 690 2024-25; exact occupation 253111.
Resident medical officers 2,727 2024-25; exact occupation 253112.
Registered nurses 2,151 2024-25; ANZSCO unit group 2544.
2025-26 YTD 4,429 Selected health occupations to 31 March 2026; not annualised.

Skilled occupation mix

The skilled stream is mostly professional, but the trade slice is real.

This uses 2024-25 Home Affairs occupation data for Skill-stream primary applicants. It is an analytical simplification, not an official blue-collar or STEM taxonomy.

Skill-stream primary applicants by occupation type

Home Affairs Permanent Migration Program outcome snapshot. Occupation detail is for Skill-stream primary applicants only. The wider Skill-stream outcome was 132,148 places including partners and dependants.

White-collar Blue-collar / trade Care / service STEM-linked Non-STEM / mixed Not specified

Blue-collar vs white-collar lens

A practical split by ANZSCO major group, with care/service and not-specified records kept separate.

60,474
White-collar / professional 72.2% 43,670 primary applicants. Managers, professionals, clerical/admin workers, and sales workers.
Blue-collar / trade 19.8% 12,000 primary applicants. Technicians and trades workers, machinery operators and drivers, and labourers.
Care / service 3.5% 2,091 primary applicants. Community and personal service workers, including care, police, and support roles.
Not specified 4.5% 2,713 primary applicants. Records where occupation was not specified in the source data.

STEM-linked vs non-STEM lens

A broad classification. Health and technical trades are included because they are central to skilled migration even though they do not fit a narrow STEM definition neatly.

60,474
STEM-linked, health and technical 54.2% 32,805 primary applicants. Broadly classified ICT, engineering, science, health, architecture/surveying, and technical trades.
Non-STEM or mixed 41.3% 24,956 primary applicants. Occupation groups outside that broad technical definition, including chefs, accountants, teachers, managers, and mixed service roles.
Not specified 4.5% 2,713 primary applicants. Records where occupation was not specified in the source data.
Primary applicant records 60,474 The occupation dataset excludes secondary applicants.
Full Skill-stream outcome 132,148 Includes primary applicants plus partners and dependants.
Implied secondary applicants 71,674 Partners, children, and other dependants included in skilled cases.
White-collar / professional 43,670 About 72% of skilled primary applicants.
Blue-collar / trade 12,000 About 20% of skilled primary applicants.
STEM-linked, health and technical 32,805 About 54% under the broad classification used here.

Narrative read

The public data gives people, not family units.

The known aggregate is 60,474 Skill-stream primary applicants and 71,674 secondary applicants. Those secondary applicants include partners, children, and other dependants, but the public table does not show how they are distributed across households. The scenarios below are arithmetic reads, not Home Affairs household counts.

50/50 paired assumption 2.8 children If about 30,000 primaries had no dependants, 30,000 had partners, and half of those couples were childless, the remaining family cases would average about 2.8 children each. That is a heavy family profile for a skilled cohort.
More partnered assumption 1.6 children If about 20,000 primaries had no dependants and 40,000 had partners, then with 20,000 childless couples the remaining family cases average about 1.6 children each.

Building trades

The housing-relevant skilled pipeline is small.

This chart uses four-digit ANZSCO unit groups: broad occupation families such as electricians, plumbers, carpenters and joiners, and structural steel and welding trades. That is the more stable basis for policy modelling than individual job-title codes.

Housing-relevant ANZSCO unit groups in the skilled program

Home Affairs Permanent Migration Program outcome snapshot. Counts are 2024-25 Skill-stream primary applicants only.

Site construction Building services Fabrication and fitters
Unit-group base 2,596 4.3% of Skill-stream primary applicants.
Site construction 1,263 Carpenter, joiner, and glazier roles most directly tied to housing-site work.
Building services 624 Electrical, plumbing, HVAC, and regulated building-systems work.
Fabrication and fitters 709 Welding, metal fabrication, and mechanical fitting that support construction supply chains.

Education exports

Education exports are sector income, not spend by each new arrival.

The baseline uses total 2024-25 export income divided by the active student stock. That gives an annual reference value of about $97k per active international student.

International education export income breakdown

Department of Education 2024-25 financial-year export income. The split separates tuition fees from goods and services spending.

Goods and services Tuition fees Source rounding