Unofficial Australian migration settings simulator

Can migration pay its way?

Test how Australia's migration settings change the balance between fiscal dividend, skills use, education exports, housing demand, and capital-city pressure.

Narrative

The useful question is not just how many people arrive.

It is whether the mix of migrants, the speed of skills use, and the pace of housing delivery are moving together. Strong migration settings create capacity; weak settings can turn the same flow into pressure.

Migration balance

Higher is better. A-E is a plain school-style grade for the current settings.

61 /100
Grade C Balanced but tight

At 61/100, benefits still lead, but the buffer is thin. The long-term dividend scores 71 against pressure of 52, so the scenario is positive but still tight on housing and city capacity.

Dividend 71
Pressure 52
NOM 295,000 Short tourist visits excluded
Dwelling demand 118,000 67% of completions
Fiscal NPV $14.6B 79k each
Education exports $53.6B 551,717 active students
Dividend stack 71
Pressure stack 52
Building trades 2,596 applicants 4.3% of skilled primary
Capacity signal Benefits leading Gap +19

What the levers mean

The 0-100 balance score compares an economic dividend stack with a capacity-pressure stack. The score improves when the permanent program selects more skilled primary applicants, when overseas skills are used quickly, and when housing delivery can absorb the added demand. It falls when high volume, student arrivals, and capital-city concentration add pressure faster than capacity expands.

The underlying ABS, Treasury, Budget, housing, education, and Home Affairs references are collected on the Sources page.