ABS Overseas Migration methodology, 2024-25
Defines NOM using the 12/16-month usual-residence rule, rather than traveller-declared intention.
Sources
Sources behind the simulator.
These public datasets, reports, and methodology notes support the simulator and charts. TAMM is intentionally simplified; this page keeps the evidence trail in one place.
Primary sources
15 references covering migration flows, fiscal modelling, housing supply, education exports, occupations, and citizenship.
ABS National, state and territory population, June 2025
Annual NOM, annual population change, and Estimated Resident Population at 30 June 2025.
Budget Paper No. 3 2026-27
NOM forecasts of 295k in 2025-26, 245k in 2026-27, and 225k from 2027-28.
Budget Paper No. 2 2026-27
185k permanent places, over 70% Skill stream, and skills recognition reforms.
ABS Overseas Migration 2024-25
306k NOM, 568k arrivals, 263k departures, and 157k temporary-student arrivals.
ABS Regional Population 2024-25
Capital cities added 258.1k people through overseas migration.
2021 Intergenerational Report
Lifetime GDP and fiscal impacts by permanent migrant stream.
National Housing Supply and Affordability Council, March 2026
219k homes completed over five Accord quarters.
ABS international students in balance of payments
Education-related travel exports were an annual $53.6B in 2024-25.
Department of Education export income, 2024-25
Confirms international education was worth $53.6B, split into $29.9B goods and services and $23.5B tuition fees.
Department of Education international student monthly summary, January 2026
Counts 551,717 international students studying in Australia and 565,601 enrolments in January 2026.
Home Affairs Australia's Migration Trends 2024-25
Migration Program outcomes from 2004-05 to 2024-25, plus 2024-25 citizenship conferrals.
Home Affairs 2024-25 Migration Program Report
Skill-stream outcome of 132,148 places and occupation-unit tables for Skill-stream primary applicants.
Home Affairs Permanent Migration Program outcome snapshot
Pivot data for 2015-16 to 2024-25. The occupation and building-trades charts use 2024-25 Skill-stream primary applicants.
Home Affairs Australian citizenship statistics
Confirms 165,193 people became Australian citizens by conferral in 2024-25.